Five Tony Predictions that Did or Didn’t Pan Out

Fun-Home-Tony2-618x400I’ve been riding on a Tony Award high all day long—mainly elation that the lovely and powerful musical Fun Home took home the big prize of the night. As much as I had hoped they’d win, I wasn’t so sure they would.

After weeks of picks and predictions and punditry on this blog, I thought I’d recap a couple of predictions I’ve written or talked about and how I did. Turns out, I got a lot right. But I got a lot wrong, too.

Almost Nailed It

1. Something Rotten! goes home empty handed. If you read this blog, you know that while I thoroughly enjoyed this comedic take on Shakespearean times, I didn’t think it was quite ready for prime time. (It also included one too many gay jokes for my taste.) Prior to the Tony Awards, I made a bold prediction: Rotten! will not win a single award. Surprise … Rotten!‘s Christian Borle took home a medallion for Featured Actor in a Musical. He deserves it, of course, for his hilarious portrayal of a rock-star William Shakespeare. I wasn’t so sure the Wing was quite ready to reward him with another Tony so soon after his Peter and the Starcatcher win. But I was wrong. Rotten! went home with one whole award, so I’m counting this as a near successful prediction.

Nailed It

2. The Fun Home girls will split the vote. As much as I wanted the adorable Sidney Lucas from Fun Home to win in the Featured Actress in a Musical category, I accurately warned that with two other cast mates nominated, it was likely the three would split the vote. That would open the door for another actress to win, and that actress, I had hoped, would be Victoria Clark of Gigi. But instead it was Ruthie Ann Miles of The King and I (Shout out to this amazing Hawaii actress!). I’m counting this as an accurate look into the future, even though Clark didn’t walk away with the medallion as I had hoped. A Kaimuki High School grad is equally satisfying, though.


3. An American in Paris would win Best Musical. My full, unwavering support was behind the emotional and groundbreaking musical Fun Home. But I wasn’t convinced it could win. All the box office action and buzz appeared to surround An American in Paris, with everyone from The New York Times to Variety predicting that they’d walk away with the big prize. And for good reason. Paris is one of the most gorgeous shows I’ve ever seen. Alas, my dreams came true when Fun Home pulled out a triumphant win.

Nailed It

4. Kelli O’Hara would finally take home a Tony. From the moment Kelli O’Hara stepped out onto that ship in a giant white hoop skirt to “Whistle a Happy Tune,” I knew this would be her year. The only possible competition would come from her friend Kristin Chenoweth, churning out an amazing performance in On the Twentieth Century. After seeing Chenoweth in action, I wasn’t so certain that O’Hara could pull it off—we were in for a tight race. But my support and prediction remained unwavering. Alas, O’Hara danced off stage, Tony medallion in hand. And what a glorious moment it was.

Nailed It

5. The “Kinky Boots Wing” of the Tony Awards is a real thing. It’s hard to say exactly who the 800 or so Tony voters are: they range from theater owners to producers to critics to actors. But as the American in Paris and Fun Home battle began to take shape, I said if Fun Home prevails, it would be because of the “Kinky Boots Wing”: essentially all the voters that allowed Billy Elliot to overtake Next to Normal and Kinky Boots to win over Matilda. We can now add Fun Home‘s victory to the proof that the “King Boots Wing” exists.

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