Oscar 2019 Race Begins Now

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The Oscar 2019 Race Begins Now

Who do you think will win?

The glorious “Roma” and “The Favourite” (a film I hope to see sometime in the next few weeks) got all the nomination love, arriving into the race with 10 nominations each. I can’t say that I saw all of these films, as my membership status as an Outer Critics Circle voter occupied most of my free nights theatrically, either seeing shows or writing about them into the wee hours (like 10pm, very late by my standards) trying to post a Theatrejunkie  review in a timely manner. But I do have some ideas about who I’d like to win and who I think will win, so let the games begin. Take your best shot, and let’s see who can guess the most winners.

My thoughts:

I was surprised that Bradley Cooper didn’t get a nomination as director and the film didn’t receive the important best editing nod, two categories that I thought were a pretty sure bet. I don’t believe either should win anyway. I can hear the gasps from the Gaga crowd, as I liked “A Star is Born“, and I’m hoping it wins for best song, but to be honest, that’s about it for me.

Lady Gaga should be proud of her nomination, but it’s Glenn Close for “The Wife” or Oliva Colman for “The Favourite” who probably should take the statue home that night. Gaga was good; a surprisingly not-disappointing performance, but definitely not award-winning in my humble mind. I loved that one moment when she walks onto the stadium stage for the first time to sing with Cooper; the look on her face is spectacular, but after that, the performance is really serviceable but not heart-breaking. Whether that’s because the screenplay fails to show a lot of nuance in the story of addiction or not, her character isn’t given anything special except a hallway punch to show anything deep. And wouldn’t it be just divine if Yalitza Aparicio for “Roma” won?

In the same way, I would love it if “Roma”s Marina de Tavira also won for Best Supporting Actress, although I think Regina King will win easily for “If Beale Street Could Talk”. I’d be content with that outcome.

Bradley Cooper did give a beautiful performance in his film, and worthy of the nomination, but I’m thinking it will be Christian Bale for “Vice” or even, hopefully, Rami Malek for “Bohemian Rhapsody” over the handsome Cooper. I think Rami’s Freddie was hypnotic although the teeth might have been overdone and distracting.

Mahershala Ali for “Green Book” should also take home the honors without too much trouble although I’d love to see Sam Rockwell for “Vice” get rewarded.
https://youtu.be/27zlBpzdOZgRegarding Best Director and Best Picture, in my book, its all about “Roma”, that gloriously personal film that was breathtakingly beautiful and emotionally centered. — should win for a few, like Director and Editing (although that one might elude him), but I’m guessing Best Film might not be in that win category for —-. So who will win Best Picture? I loved “Bohemian Rhapsody” and I enjoyed “A Star is Born” but my money wouldn’t be on either. In superhero universe, I liked “Wonder Woman” more than “Black Panther” to be frank, but glad to see it there in the race and nominated in the technical categories, as it was spectacular looking, and gorgeous all around. Haven’t seen “BlackKKlansman” yet, nor “Vice”, “The Favourite”, or  “Green Book”, but I’d say it’s a tossup between “The Favorite “ and “Vice”, with my guess going to “The Favourite “. Cause it just makes sense, right? The name, spelled the way it should (sorry America), says it all.

 

✅ who I think will win

🙏🏽 who I want to win

👎 who I’d rather not win

🏆 and finally, who actually won an Oscar

BEST PICTURE

✅ Roma for the win

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

🙏🏽 I would love to see Dogs win

CINEMATOGRAPHY

COSTUME DESIGN

DIRECTING

DOCUMENTARY (FEATURE)

Free Solo

Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi,…

Minding the Gap

Bing Liu and Diane Quon

Of Fathers and Sons

Talal Derki, Ansgar Frerich,…

RBG🙏🏽

Betsy West and Julie Cohen

DOCUMENTARY (SHORT SUBJECT)

Black Sheep

Ed Perkins and Jonathan…

End Game

Rob Epstein and Jeffrey…

Lifeboat

Skye Fitzgerald and Bryn…

Period. End of Sentence.

Rayka Zehtabchi and Melissa…

FILM EDITING

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Capernaum

Lebanon; Nadine Labaki

Cold War

Poland; Paweł Pawlikowski

Never Look Away

Germany; Florian Henckel von…

Roma

Mexico; Alfonso Cuarón

Shoplifters

Japan; Hirokazu Kore-eda

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

Border

Göran Lundström and Pamela…

Mary Queen of Scots

Jenny Shircore, Marc Pilcher…

Vice

Greg Cannom, Kate Biscoe and…

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)

PRODUCTION DESIGN

Black Panther

Hannah Beachler (Production…

The Favourite

Fiona Crombie (Production…

First Man

Nathan Crowley (Production…

Mary Poppins Returns

John Myhre (Production…

Roma

Eugenio Caballero (Production…

SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)

Animal Behaviour

Alison Snowden and David Fine

Bao

Domee Shi and Becky…

Late Afternoon

Louise Bagnall and Nuria…

One Small Step

Andrew Chesworth and Bobby…

SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION)

Detainment

Vincent Lambe and Darren…

Fauve

Jeremy Comte and Maria Gracia…

Marguerite

Marianne Farley and…

Mother

Rodrigo Sorogoyen and María…

Skin

Guy Nattiv and Jaime Ray…

SOUND EDITING

Black Panther

Benjamin A. Burtt and Steve…

Bohemian Rhapsody

John Warhurst and Nina…

First Man

Ai-Ling Lee and Mildred…

A Quiet Place

Ethan Van der Ryn and Erik…

Roma

Sergio Díaz and Skip Lievsay

SOUND MIXING

Black Panther

Steve Boeddeker, Brandon…

Bohemian Rhapsody

Paul Massey, Tim Cavagin and…

First Man

Jon Taylor, Frank A. Montaño,…

Roma

Skip Lievsay, Craig Henighan…

A Star Is Born

Tom Ozanich, Dean Zupancic,…

VISUAL EFFECTS

Avengers: Infinity War

Dan DeLeeuw, Kelly Port,…

Christopher Robin

Christopher Lawrence, Michael…

First Man

Paul Lambert, Ian Hunter,…

Ready Player One

Roger Guyett, Grady Cofer,…

Solo: A Star Wars Story

Rob Bredow, Patrick Tubach,…

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)

The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

Written by Joel Coen & Ethan…

BlacKkKlansman

Written by Charlie Wachtel &…

If Beale Street Could Talk

Written for the screen by…

A Star Is Born

Screenplay by Eric Roth and…

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)

The Favourite

Written by Deborah Davis and…

First Reformed

Written by Paul Schrader

Green Book

Written by Nick Vallelonga,…

Roma

Written by Alfonso Cuarón

Vice

Written by Adam McKay

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