Oscar Predictions 2017: How’d I Do?

2017-oscars-89th-academy-awardsOscar Nominations 2017: My Predictions

By Ross

To say that I’m unprepared for this task this year is by no means an understatement. Of the nominated best pictures i can honestly say that I’ve only seen four, and I liked them all. The four are all very worthy although I do have my favorites. I do want to see a few more although I doubt I will have the time before the Oscars on Sunday night. Life as Mr. Frontmezzjunkies.com has gotten crazy busy,which I feel completely blessed, but it has been challenging to squeeze in a movie here and there. With that confession out there to you all, Im going to do my best and give my opinion on the main races and my best guess on all categories. And I’d love to hear your thoughts. Especially when you disagree.

Here’s my predictions:

๐Ÿ‘ˆ I think will win

๐Ÿ‘ I want to win

โœ… winner (posting Sunday night)

unknown-1BEST PICTURE

As said, I’ve only seen four of these films, Lion, Manchester, La LaLand, and Moonlight. Of those four, my favorite was Manchester. On an emotional level, it was beautifully quiet and intense. Shockingly non- traditional but ever so authentic. Tied for my second favorite of the four, Lion and Moonlight are both just as deserving although both had some problems with pace and maintaining connection, in my mind. La La Land was fun and joyful, and surprisingly deeper then I even expected, but I don’t think it comes close to what the other three made me feel. I want to see Fences, Arrival, Hidden Figures, and Hell or High Water, in that order, but, as said, it is doubtful that will happen before Sunday.

That being said, La La Land will probably win. Hollywood loves to pat itself on the back in more ways than one. It probably speaks to the Academy on a different level than those of us not in that world. Moonlight winning would be grand, and also a pat on the back for Hollywood in a very different way, but I think it’s doubtful at this point of time that it would go that way. Manchester winning would make me very happy for this sad melancholy film, but it is just too much of just that to make it a winner, especially compared to the happy distracting La La. and to be honest, maybe we need that feeling more than ever right now.

Arrival

Fences

Hacksaw Ridge

Hell or High Water

Hidden Figures

La La Land ๐Ÿ‘ˆ what just happened, Warren?

Lion

๐Ÿ‘ Manchester by the Sea๐Ÿ‘ (click here for my review)

Moonlight โœ… 

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20160901181808manchester_by_the_seaACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

I think this is a race between Affleck and Washington. And I’m hoping it’s Casey. His portrait of a destroyed man is detailed and intense, and basically blew me away. Haven’t seen Washington though. Not my favorite actor in general as it always feels like I’m watching Washington ACT. Maybe Wilson’s play turned-movie settled him down into a more grounded space. It is my next film to see. After seeing Jitney on Broadway last month, I thought the writing is so spectacular and grounded in reality while not losing its theatricality. So maybe Washington is great but I don’t think he’ll win in the end.

๐Ÿ‘Casey AffleckManchester by the Sea๐Ÿ‘ ๐Ÿ‘ˆ โœ…

Andrew GarfieldHacksaw Ridge

Ryan GoslingLa La Land

Viggo MortensenCaptain Fantastic

Denzel WashingtonFences 

=============================

la_la_landACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

Everyone is saying that Emma Stone will win this, although a month ago, everyone was thinking Natalie Portman had it in the bag.  Then along came the Golden Globes and the Screen Actors Guild giving the award to the much deserving Isabelle Huppert.  That film was crazy interesting, and a bit bizarre, and if she doesn’t win, it’s because of that and the language, but in the end, I think she should and will.  Stone is lovely, but for a musical her singing and dancing, though charming, was just not that good.  Her acting saved her and made her engaging, but that doesn’t mean Oscar winning to me.

๐Ÿ‘Isabelle HuppertElle ๐Ÿ‘ ๐Ÿ‘ˆ

Ruth NeggaLoving 

Natalie PortmanJackie 

Emma StoneLa La Land โœ…

Meryl StreepFlorence Foster Jenkins

=============================

Finally a category where I’ve seen most of the films, and I would say that Moonlight‘s Ali should take it home.  It’s a beautiful layered performance.  I loved Hedges in Manchester, but it doesn’t carry the same weight.  Shannon was crazy good, but leaning a bit too much on the crazy.  And Lion‘s Patel had an overly long midsection in this beautiful film. His torturous state went on and on, and it was a bit too much.  Not his fault, but it got wearisome.

๐Ÿ‘Mahershala AliMoonlight ๐Ÿ‘ ๐Ÿ‘ˆโœ…

Jeff BridgesHell or High Water

Lucas HedgesManchester by the Sea

Dev PatelLion 

Michael ShannonNocturnal Animals

=============================

Having only seen Kidman in Lion and Williams in Manchester, I would give the award to Williams heart breaking portrayal, but if the trailers are any indication, Davis in Fences is most likely the stuff Oscars are made from.  Fierce and loving, she deserves this award, and will win it.  This is the easiest call of the bunch.

๐Ÿ‘Viola DavisFences ๐Ÿ‘ ๐Ÿ‘ˆโœ…

Naomie HarrisMoonlight 

Nicole KidmanLion

Octavia SpencerHidden Figures

Michelle WilliamsManchester by the Sea

lion_ver3=============================

I’m going to stop here and just take a guess for each and every category beyond.  It’s time I go to my Oscar party.  Enjoy and cross your fingers for my favorite, Manchester by the Sea. ๐Ÿ™‚

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

Kubo and the Two Strings

Moana

My Life as a Zucchini

The Red Turtle

Zootopia ๐Ÿ‘ˆโœ…

=============================

florence-foster-jenkins_poster_1455857737CINEMATOGRAPHY

Arrival 

La La Land ๐Ÿ‘ˆ โœ…

๐Ÿ‘Lion ๐Ÿ‘

Moonlight 

Silence

=============================

COSTUME DESIGN

Allied 

๐Ÿ‘Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them ๐Ÿ‘โœ…

Florence Foster Jenkins 

Jackie 

La La Land ๐Ÿ‘ˆ

=============================

unknownDIRECTING

Arrival 

Hacksaw Ridge 

La La Land ๐Ÿ‘ˆโœ…

๐Ÿ‘Manchester by the Sea ๐Ÿ‘

Moonlight

=============================

DOCUMENTARY (FEATURE)

Fire at Sea 

I Am Not Your Negro 

Life, Animated 

O.J.: Made in America ๐Ÿ‘ˆโœ…

13th

=============================

Extremis 

4.1 Miles 

Joeโ€™s Violin ๐Ÿ‘ˆ

Watani: My Homeland 

The White Helmets โœ…

=============================

lovingFILM EDITING

Arrival 

Hacksaw Ridge โœ…

Hell or High Water 

La La Land ๐Ÿ‘ˆ

๐Ÿ‘Moonlight๐Ÿ‘

=============================

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Land of Mine 

A Man Called Ove 

๐Ÿ‘The Salesman ๐Ÿ‘โœ…

Tanna 

Toni Erdmann ๐Ÿ‘ˆ

=============================

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

A Man Called Ove 

Star Trek Beyond ๐Ÿ‘ˆ

Suicide Squadโœ…

=============================

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)

Jackie 

๐Ÿ‘La La Land ๐Ÿ‘ ๐Ÿ‘ˆ โœ…

Lion 

Moonlight 

Passengers

=============================

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)

“Audition (The Fools Who Dream)” from La La Land

Music by Justin Hurwitz; Lyric by Benj Pasek and Justin Paul

“Canโ€™t Stop The Feeling” from Trolls

Music and Lyric by Justin Timberlake, Max Martin and Karl Johan Schuster

๐Ÿ‘”City Of Stars” from La La Land๐Ÿ‘ ๐Ÿ‘ˆ โœ…

Music by Justin Hurwitz; Lyric by Benj Pasek and Justin Paul

“The Empty Chair” from Jim: The James Foley Story

Music and Lyric by J. Ralph and Sting

“How Far Iโ€™ll Go” from Moana

Music and Lyric by Lin-Manuel Miranda

=============================

PRODUCTION DESIGN

Arrival 

๐Ÿ‘Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them ๐Ÿ‘

Hail, Caesar! 

La La Land ๐Ÿ‘ˆโœ…

Passengers

=============================

SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)

Blind Vaysha 

Borrowed Time 

Pear Cider and Cigarettes 

Pearl 

Piper ๐Ÿ‘ˆโœ…

=============================

SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION)

Ennemis Intรฉrieurs ๐Ÿ‘ˆ

La Femme et le TGV 

Silent Nights 

Sing โœ…

Timecode

=============================

SOUND EDITING

Arrival โœ…

Deepwater Horizon 

Hacksaw Ridge 

La La Land ๐Ÿ‘ˆ

Sully

=============================

SOUND MIXING

Arrival 

Hacksaw Ridge โœ…

La La Land ๐Ÿ‘ˆ

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 

13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi

=============================

VISUAL EFFECTS

Deepwater Horizon 

Doctor Strange 

๐Ÿ‘The Jungle Book ๐Ÿ‘ ๐Ÿ‘ˆโœ…

Kubo and the Two Strings 

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

=============================

Arrival 

๐Ÿ‘Fences ๐Ÿ‘ 

Hidden Figures 

Lion 

Moonlight ๐Ÿ‘ˆโœ…

=============================

Hell or High Water 

La La Land 

The Lobster 

๐Ÿ‘Manchester by the Sea ๐Ÿ‘ ๐Ÿ‘ˆ โœ…

20th Century Women

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