Oscar Predictions 2017: How’d I Do?

2017-oscars-89th-academy-awardsOscar Nominations 2017: My Predictions

By Ross

To say that I’m unprepared for this task this year is by no means an understatement. Of the nominated best pictures i can honestly say that I’ve only seen four, and I liked them all. The four are all very worthy although I do have my favorites. I do want to see a few more although I doubt I will have the time before the Oscars on Sunday night. Life as Mr. Frontmezzjunkies.com has gotten crazy busy,which I feel completely blessed, but it has been challenging to squeeze in a movie here and there. With that confession out there to you all, Im going to do my best and give my opinion on the main races and my best guess on all categories. And I’d love to hear your thoughts. Especially when you disagree.

Here’s my predictions:

👈 I think will win

👏 I want to win

✅ winner (posting Sunday night)

unknown-1BEST PICTURE

As said, I’ve only seen four of these films, Lion, Manchester, La LaLand, and Moonlight. Of those four, my favorite was Manchester. On an emotional level, it was beautifully quiet and intense. Shockingly non- traditional but ever so authentic. Tied for my second favorite of the four, Lion and Moonlight are both just as deserving although both had some problems with pace and maintaining connection, in my mind. La La Land was fun and joyful, and surprisingly deeper then I even expected, but I don’t think it comes close to what the other three made me feel. I want to see Fences, Arrival, Hidden Figures, and Hell or High Water, in that order, but, as said, it is doubtful that will happen before Sunday.

That being said, La La Land will probably win. Hollywood loves to pat itself on the back in more ways than one. It probably speaks to the Academy on a different level than those of us not in that world. Moonlight winning would be grand, and also a pat on the back for Hollywood in a very different way, but I think it’s doubtful at this point of time that it would go that way. Manchester winning would make me very happy for this sad melancholy film, but it is just too much of just that to make it a winner, especially compared to the happy distracting La La. and to be honest, maybe we need that feeling more than ever right now.

Arrival

Fences

Hacksaw Ridge

Hell or High Water

Hidden Figures

La La Land 👈 what just happened, Warren?

Lion

👏 Manchester by the Sea👏 (click here for my review)

Moonlight ✅ 

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20160901181808manchester_by_the_seaACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

I think this is a race between Affleck and Washington. And I’m hoping it’s Casey. His portrait of a destroyed man is detailed and intense, and basically blew me away. Haven’t seen Washington though. Not my favorite actor in general as it always feels like I’m watching Washington ACT. Maybe Wilson’s play turned-movie settled him down into a more grounded space. It is my next film to see. After seeing Jitney on Broadway last month, I thought the writing is so spectacular and grounded in reality while not losing its theatricality. So maybe Washington is great but I don’t think he’ll win in the end.

👏Casey AffleckManchester by the Sea👏 👈 ✅

Andrew GarfieldHacksaw Ridge

Ryan GoslingLa La Land

Viggo MortensenCaptain Fantastic

Denzel WashingtonFences 

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la_la_landACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

Everyone is saying that Emma Stone will win this, although a month ago, everyone was thinking Natalie Portman had it in the bag.  Then along came the Golden Globes and the Screen Actors Guild giving the award to the much deserving Isabelle Huppert.  That film was crazy interesting, and a bit bizarre, and if she doesn’t win, it’s because of that and the language, but in the end, I think she should and will.  Stone is lovely, but for a musical her singing and dancing, though charming, was just not that good.  Her acting saved her and made her engaging, but that doesn’t mean Oscar winning to me.

👏Isabelle HuppertElle 👏 👈

Ruth NeggaLoving 

Natalie PortmanJackie 

Emma StoneLa La Land ✅

Meryl StreepFlorence Foster Jenkins

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Finally a category where I’ve seen most of the films, and I would say that Moonlight‘s Ali should take it home.  It’s a beautiful layered performance.  I loved Hedges in Manchester, but it doesn’t carry the same weight.  Shannon was crazy good, but leaning a bit too much on the crazy.  And Lion‘s Patel had an overly long midsection in this beautiful film. His torturous state went on and on, and it was a bit too much.  Not his fault, but it got wearisome.

👏Mahershala AliMoonlight 👏 👈✅

Jeff BridgesHell or High Water

Lucas HedgesManchester by the Sea

Dev PatelLion 

Michael ShannonNocturnal Animals

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Having only seen Kidman in Lion and Williams in Manchester, I would give the award to Williams heart breaking portrayal, but if the trailers are any indication, Davis in Fences is most likely the stuff Oscars are made from.  Fierce and loving, she deserves this award, and will win it.  This is the easiest call of the bunch.

👏Viola DavisFences 👏 👈✅

Naomie HarrisMoonlight 

Nicole KidmanLion

Octavia SpencerHidden Figures

Michelle WilliamsManchester by the Sea

lion_ver3=============================

I’m going to stop here and just take a guess for each and every category beyond.  It’s time I go to my Oscar party.  Enjoy and cross your fingers for my favorite, Manchester by the Sea. 🙂

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

Kubo and the Two Strings

Moana

My Life as a Zucchini

The Red Turtle

Zootopia 👈✅

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florence-foster-jenkins_poster_1455857737CINEMATOGRAPHY

Arrival 

La La Land 👈 ✅

👏Lion 👏

Moonlight 

Silence

=============================

COSTUME DESIGN

Allied 

👏Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 👏✅

Florence Foster Jenkins 

Jackie 

La La Land 👈

=============================

unknownDIRECTING

Arrival 

Hacksaw Ridge 

La La Land 👈✅

👏Manchester by the Sea 👏

Moonlight

=============================

DOCUMENTARY (FEATURE)

Fire at Sea 

I Am Not Your Negro 

Life, Animated 

O.J.: Made in America 👈✅

13th

=============================

Extremis 

4.1 Miles 

Joe’s Violin 👈

Watani: My Homeland 

The White Helmets ✅

=============================

lovingFILM EDITING

Arrival 

Hacksaw Ridge ✅

Hell or High Water 

La La Land 👈

👏Moonlight👏

=============================

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Land of Mine 

A Man Called Ove 

👏The Salesman 👏✅

Tanna 

Toni Erdmann 👈

=============================

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

A Man Called Ove 

Star Trek Beyond 👈

Suicide Squad✅

=============================

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)

Jackie 

👏La La Land 👏 👈 ✅

Lion 

Moonlight 

Passengers

=============================

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)

“Audition (The Fools Who Dream)” from La La Land

Music by Justin Hurwitz; Lyric by Benj Pasek and Justin Paul

“Can’t Stop The Feeling” from Trolls

Music and Lyric by Justin Timberlake, Max Martin and Karl Johan Schuster

👏”City Of Stars” from La La Land👏 👈 ✅

Music by Justin Hurwitz; Lyric by Benj Pasek and Justin Paul

“The Empty Chair” from Jim: The James Foley Story

Music and Lyric by J. Ralph and Sting

“How Far I’ll Go” from Moana

Music and Lyric by Lin-Manuel Miranda

=============================

PRODUCTION DESIGN

Arrival 

👏Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 👏

Hail, Caesar! 

La La Land 👈✅

Passengers

=============================

SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)

Blind Vaysha 

Borrowed Time 

Pear Cider and Cigarettes 

Pearl 

Piper 👈✅

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SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION)

Ennemis Intérieurs 👈

La Femme et le TGV 

Silent Nights 

Sing ✅

Timecode

=============================

SOUND EDITING

Arrival ✅

Deepwater Horizon 

Hacksaw Ridge 

La La Land 👈

Sully

=============================

SOUND MIXING

Arrival 

Hacksaw Ridge ✅

La La Land 👈

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 

13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi

=============================

VISUAL EFFECTS

Deepwater Horizon 

Doctor Strange 

👏The Jungle Book 👏 👈✅

Kubo and the Two Strings 

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

=============================

Arrival 

👏Fences 👏 

Hidden Figures 

Lion 

Moonlight 👈✅

=============================

Hell or High Water 

La La Land 

The Lobster 

👏Manchester by the Sea 👏 👈 ✅

20th Century Women

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